blog link Having worked through the substantial amount of entires I was left with 10 on my shortlist:
Briar hill, champagne west, deputy Dan, faugheen, kings palace,red Sherlock, sure reef, timesremembered, un temps pour tout and vautour
With Champagne west, Deputy Dan and kings palace not certain to run I have excluded them going forward. I like the look of sure reef but think he will go in the Albert Bartlett so again excluded. Vautour is almost certain to run in the supreme so is excluded too.
Leaving me with Briar Hill, faugheen, Red Sherlock, timesremembered and un temps pour tout
Faugheen heads the market for the Mullins yard who also look to be sending Briar Hill. Red Sherlock and un temps pour tout both running for Pipe. I believe one of these 4 will be the winner of the Neptune
vawn and africa dating now With RED SHERLOCK 3/3 over hurdles and 2 wins at Cheltenham he gets my vote despite being a shorter price than Ideal
online dating winnipeg free 2 horses have been of interest to me for a while Corrin wood & Carlingford Lough. McCain seems to think Corrin Wood has a great chance in this and with 3/3 chase wins and jumping very well it’s understandable. However, all chase wins have come in small fields 4,3,4 and this will be a very different race to those! Carlingford lough, his improvement has been dramatic and has some good runs under his belt including a win in the galway plate. An unseat in his last race at Leopardstown in which he looked to be finishing behind Ballycasey anyway, however the step up to 3m here should suit and nearly 3 times as big in the betting than Ballycasey tells me he is a decent EW shot
CORRIN WOOD (WIN), CARLINGFORD LOUGH (EW)
rencontre rambouillet Betvictor Queen mother champion chase – 3:20
With Sprinter Sacre not making an appearance Sire de Grugy has been left clear favourite. Currently 7/4 best price which is too short to consider. There were rumours connections would pull him out until they heard of the doubts about Sprinter Sacre running which tells you taking him at 7/4 is not the best given the concerns around Cheltenham.
Arvika Ligeonniere has serious questions to answer going left handed . If Al Ferof runs she is well worth an EW Bet but could be heading to the Ryanair although with SS withdrawing this may change. Sizing Europes age is against him in a race generally won by horses no older than 9. Kid Cassidy beat Sire de grugy at Cheltenham in November although with a 10 pound weight advantage.
I am happy to take on Sire de grugy although huge favourite 2 losses at Cheltenham and considerations to withdraw tells me to avoid!
If HINTERLAND runs here instead of the Arkle I am happy to have him EW at 14/1 (remember non runner no bet!)
news Glenfarclas cross country chase 4:00
This is a true test of a stayer and quite a lot of the field can be dismissed instantly. I want to concentrate on those with proven form for this 31 furlong test.
Balthazar King (9/2) the 10 year old has a win here and at this distance, Big Shu (4/1) has won at Punchestown and Cheltenham over this distance. Love Rory (13/2) has beaten Big Shu but over 7 furlongs shorter. Pasquini Rouge (16/1) finished 3rd over c&d improvement would see him go close. Sire collonges (7/1) beat Pasquini rouge over c&d here last time out with any currency (8/1) finishing between them.
Obviously there could be a horse waiting in the wings with no current form but any others being able to cope with this distance will have to be taken trust. I fancy two bets in this race
SIRE COLLONGES 8/1 – WIN
PASQUINI ROUGE 16/1 – EW
Neptune 1:30 – Red Sherlock
RSA chase 2:05 – corrin wood 9/1, Carlingford Lough EW
Queen mother champion chase 3:20 – Hinterland EW
Cross country chase 4:00 – sire collonges WIN, Pasquini Rouge EW
Remember to look for bookies offering No run no bet.
Days 3 and 4 will be available this weekend :0)